PURCHASING · WANDA - RAVE BATCH · DECISION 1 OF 6
(internal name pending) · B07J35Z66B
RAVE-BS-001 · B07J35Z66B · run #244 · Sep 8
Dark window
20 d
Nov 4 → Nov 24 · ≈668 u · $5,274
Each week of delay
+$1,846
≈ 234 lost sales · arrival slips day-for-day
Commit
$1,440
1,800 u · arrives Nov 24 if ordered today
Order 1,800 units now. Best seller — 3,008 u/90d. 57 d cover vs the 77-day pipeline: the biggest line goes dark for 20 days. This line rides the Wanda - RAVE PO — one supplier, one order, one lifecycle.
Projected inventory · next 120 days · p10–p90 band drawn, not implied
Shaded red = days at zero. Green band = p10–p90 sell-down after arrival. Every day of order delay moves the green line right one day — the gray dashed line is this decision made one week later.
Why this number — in plain words
Forecast, next 107 d (77 d lead + 30 d cover)3,576 u− On hand (FBA 1,917 · AWD 0 · 3PL 0)1,917 u− Inbound (confirmed, in transit)0 u− Committed (approved, not yet shipped)0 u= Needed1,659 uSupplier MOQ600 uSuggested (MOQ binds — 1.1× need)1,800 u · $1,440.00
MOQ is 1.1× the need: accept (2 mo of supply), renegotiate, or split with another line. Overriding? Enter units + a reason — it's kept in the audit trail.
What moves this number — and what doesn't
At p90 demand, needed3,411 u — units moveAt p10 demand, needed500 u — MOQ still bindsWhat does movethe dark window: Nov 2–Nov 8 startWait one week≈ 234 lost sales · $1,846 · arrival Dec 1
Inputs — every number traces
Demandrun #244 (Sep 8) · daily p50 + p10–p90On handFBA Sep 8 · AWD + 3PL Sep 7Supply that countsapproved+ POs · none for this ASINLead time30 + 35 + 5 + 7 = 77 d (onboarding)MOQ / case / cost600 / 600 / $0.80 · supplier-item card v1
Keeping this line in the batch commits $1,440 of the supplier PO and starts the 77-day clock. Line edits happen on the draft PO and are audited — draft the supplier PO first.Keep in Wanda - RAVE batch · 1,800 u · $1,440