STAGING · TEST DATArun #244 · Sep 8 · today = all supplier sends interceptedWorklistOutbox
PURCHASING · WANDA - RAVE BATCH · DECISION 6 OF 6

(internal name pending) · B07YBKSMBT

RAVE-CH-006 · B07YBKSMBT · run #244 · Sep 8
Dark window
77 d
Sep 8 → Nov 24 · ≈5 u · $55
Each week of delay
+$5
≈ 0 lost sales · arrival slips day-for-day
Commit
$192
256 u · arrives Nov 24 if ordered today
Order 256 units now. Out of stock. 6 u/90d — candidate to drop from the order; flag for discontinue review. This line rides the Wanda - RAVE PO — one supplier, one order, one lifecycle.
Projected inventory · next 120 days · p10–p90 band drawn, not implied
2560Oct 1Nov 1Dec 1today0 u todaydark Sep 8Nov 24 · ≈5 u · $55 lost at p50start window Sep 6Sep 12 (p10–p90)+256 u · Nov 24 if ordered todaywait 1 wk → Dec 1p10p90
Shaded red = days at zero. Green band = p10–p90 sell-down after arrival. Every day of order delay moves the green line right one day — the gray dashed line is this decision made one week later.
Why this number — in plain words
Forecast, next 107 d (77 d lead + 30 d cover)7 u− On hand (FBA 0 · AWD 0 · 3PL 0)0 u− Inbound (confirmed, in transit)0 u− Committed (approved, not yet shipped)0 u= Needed7 uSupplier MOQ256 uSuggested (MOQ binds — 36.6× need)256 u · $192.00
MOQ is 36.6× the need: accept (128 mo of supply), renegotiate, or split with another line. Overriding? Enter units + a reason — it's kept in the audit trail.
What moves this number — and what doesn't
At p90 demand, needed10 u — MOQ still bindsAt p10 demand, needed5 u — MOQ still bindsWhat does movethe dark window: Sep 6–Sep 12 startWait one week≈ 0 lost sales · $5 · arrival Dec 1
Inputs — every number traces
Demandrun #244 (Sep 8) · daily p50 + p10–p90On handFBA Sep 8 · AWD + 3PL Sep 7Supply that countsapproved+ POs · none for this ASINLead time30 + 35 + 5 + 7 = 77 d (onboarding)MOQ / case / cost256 / 256 / $0.75 · supplier-item card v1
Keeping this line in the batch commits $192 of the supplier PO and starts the 77-day clock. Line edits happen on the draft PO and are audited — draft the supplier PO first.Keep in Wanda - RAVE batch · 256 u · $192
(internal name pending) · B07YBKSMBT
256 u · $192 · arrives Nov 24 · dark now
Keep in batch