PURCHASING · WANDA - RAVE BATCH · DECISION 5 OF 6
(internal name pending) · B07YBLNHH3
RAVE-CH-005 · B07YBLNHH3 · run #244 · Sep 8
Dark window
77 d
Sep 8 → Nov 24 · ≈16 u · $165
Each week of delay
+$15
≈ 1 lost sales · arrival slips day-for-day
Commit
$384
512 u · arrives Nov 24 if ordered today
Order 512 units now. Out of stock. Low forecast (19 u/90d) — MOQ 512 is 8× annual demand: renegotiate or bundle. This line rides the Wanda - RAVE PO — one supplier, one order, one lifecycle.
Projected inventory · next 120 days · p10–p90 band drawn, not implied
Shaded red = days at zero. Green band = p10–p90 sell-down after arrival. Every day of order delay moves the green line right one day — the gray dashed line is this decision made one week later.
Why this number — in plain words
Forecast, next 107 d (77 d lead + 30 d cover)23 u− On hand (FBA 0 · AWD 0 · 3PL 0)0 u− Inbound (confirmed, in transit)0 u− Committed (approved, not yet shipped)0 u= Needed23 uSupplier MOQ512 uSuggested (MOQ binds — 22.3× need)512 u · $384.00
MOQ is 22.3× the need: accept (81 mo of supply), renegotiate, or split with another line. Overriding? Enter units + a reason — it's kept in the audit trail.
What moves this number — and what doesn't
At p90 demand, needed34 u — MOQ still bindsAt p10 demand, needed16 u — MOQ still bindsWhat does movethe dark window: Sep 6–Sep 12 startWait one week≈ 1 lost sales · $15 · arrival Dec 1
Inputs — every number traces
Demandrun #244 (Sep 8) · daily p50 + p10–p90On handFBA Sep 8 · AWD + 3PL Sep 7Supply that countsapproved+ POs · none for this ASINLead time30 + 35 + 5 + 7 = 77 d (onboarding)MOQ / case / cost512 / 256 / $0.75 · supplier-item card v1
Keeping this line in the batch commits $384 of the supplier PO and starts the 77-day clock. Line edits happen on the draft PO and are audited — draft the supplier PO first.Keep in Wanda - RAVE batch · 512 u · $384