PURCHASING · WANDA - RAVE BATCH · DECISION 4 OF 6
Tassel Earrings - Pink Ombre
RAVE-TE-004 · B0FTPTPPRY · run #244 · Sep 8
Dark window
73 d
Sep 12 → Nov 24 · ≈95 u · $1,220
Each week of delay
+$117
≈ 9 lost sales · arrival slips day-for-day
Commit
$640
512 u · arrives Nov 24 if ordered today
Order 512 units now — already past the order-by date. 6 units left against 117 u/90d. Stock hits zero Sep 12 (p10–p90: Sep 10–16). This line rides the Wanda - RAVE PO — one supplier, one order, one lifecycle.
Projected inventory · next 120 days · p10–p90 band drawn, not implied
Shaded red = days at zero. Green band = p10–p90 sell-down after arrival. Every day of order delay moves the green line right one day — the gray dashed line is this decision made one week later.
Why this number — in plain words
Forecast, next 107 d (77 d lead + 30 d cover)139 u− On hand (FBA 6 · AWD 0 · 3PL 0)6 u− Inbound (confirmed, in transit)0 u− Committed (approved, not yet shipped)0 u= Needed133 uSupplier MOQ512 uSuggested (MOQ binds — 3.8× need)512 u · $640.00
MOQ is 3.8× the need: accept (13 mo of supply), renegotiate, or split with another line. Overriding? Enter units + a reason — it's kept in the audit trail.
What moves this number — and what doesn't
At p90 demand, needed201 u — MOQ still bindsAt p10 demand, needed88 u — MOQ still bindsWhat does movethe dark window: Sep 10–Sep 16 startWait one week≈ 9 lost sales · $117 · arrival Dec 1
Inputs — every number traces
Demandrun #244 (Sep 8) · daily p50 + p10–p90On handFBA Sep 8 · AWD + 3PL Sep 7Supply that countsapproved+ POs · none for this ASINLead time30 + 35 + 5 + 7 = 77 d (onboarding)MOQ / case / cost512 / 256 / $1.25 · supplier-item card v1
Keeping this line in the batch commits $640 of the supplier PO and starts the 77-day clock. Line edits happen on the draft PO and are audited — draft the supplier PO first.Keep in Wanda - RAVE batch · 512 u · $640